Dynamic Strategic Planning for Technology Policy Dynamic Strategic Planning for Technology Policy Dynamic Strategic Planning for Technology Policy Dynamic Strategic Planning for Technology Policy
نویسندگان
چکیده
Dynamic Strategic Planning is an effective method for the development of rational policies for the intelligent, effective development of technology or large-scale engineering projects. It is: • Dynamic in that it explicitly recognizes the risk and uncertainties necessarily associated with any forecast about the future performance and acceptance of any technology, and thus the need to build flexibility into the plan and to adjust the plan according to the events that occur; • Strategic in that it seeks long-term benefits rather than myopic, short-term objectives; and • Planning in that it develops a process to follow in order to achieve the best possible results for the prevailing circumstances. The paper describes the principles of Dynamic Strategic Planning, indicates specific methods that are effective for carrying them out, and illustrates their use through application to the formulation of policy on low-emission automobiles in the United States.
منابع مشابه
Strategic Technology Planning in Science-Based Subsectors of Petroleum Industry: The Case Study of R&D Roadmapping for Geochemical Exploration Technologies
Strategic planning of technology in Iran's oil industry has a long history, however, the knowledge-based sectors of the oil industry, despite their different characteristics, have been less exposed to such experiences, and hence the study of the experience in one of the key sub-sectors of this industry, namely the exploration geochemical sector, can be innovative. This article seeks to answer t...
متن کاملDynamic Integrated Resource Strategic Planning Model: A Case Study of China’s Power Sector Planning into 2050
This paper proposes a Dynamic Integrated Resource Strategic Planning (DIRSP) model based on a semi-Markov decision-making process. Considering the policy transfer probability matrix, we discuss the influence of different policy portfolios and input intensity on the timing and scale of low-carbon transition during the power planning process. In addition, we discuss various planning scenarios fro...
متن کاملHidden Strategic Challenges Posed by Housing Mobility Policy: An Application of Dynamic Policy Modeling
Over the past decade, shifts in subsidized and affordable housing policy have led to a greater role for market dynamics and individual choice on the part of program participants and their new neighbors, and a greater awareness of the importance of neighborhood on family outcomes. Given these trends, there is an opportunity for innovative prescriptive planning models to assist in the design of p...
متن کاملAn Integrated Hydrocarbon Biofuel and Petroleum Supply Chain: Designing and Planning a Dynamic Supply Chain Network
One of the main challenges of bioenergy sector development is the cost of biomass supply chain resulted from inefficient bioenergy production from low energy content biomass feedstocks, high logistics costs of biomass production, handling and transportation. Another main aspect to be considered is that the configuration of a biofuel supply chain can be dynamic which evolve over time. Growing de...
متن کاملAn Integrated Hydrocarbon Biofuel and Petroleum Supply Chain: Designing and Planning a Dynamic Supply Chain Network
One of the main challenges of bioenergy sector development is the cost of biomass supply chain resulted from inefficient bioenergy production from low energy content biomass feedstocks, high logistics costs of biomass production, handling and transportation. Another main aspect to be considered is that the configuration of a biofuel supply chain can be dynamic which evolve over time. Growing de...
متن کامل